1 link tagged with all of: careers + elastic demand + jason wei
Click any tag below to further narrow down your results
Links
Jason Wei argues that radiologists will stay in demand despite AI, because cheaper scans will drive elastic demand, rare diseases will keep AI in a triage role for years, and healthcare's slow adoption and regulation will buy time. He uses Geoff Hinton's 2016 prediction that radiology training should stop as the foil.
- AI will handle common, easy-to-see conditions first but lag on rare diseases, since there is less data for them, so expect 3-5 years of triage use before full automation.
- Jevons paradox: if reading a scan becomes nearly free, radiologists might read only 20% of scans while five times as many arrive, and many developing countries with under one radiologist per million people would add demand.
- Cheap interpretation could push device makers toward cheaper, more frequent scanners, and medical regulation, legacy infrastructure, and data access limits will slow adoption.